The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 BAL Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Andino, Robert 2012: 132 37 4 1 3 9 0 2 1 36 0 2 144
Andino, Robert proj: 130 33 6 0 2 10 1 2 1 29 2 1 144
Avery, Xavier 2012: 18 5 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 20
Avery, Xavier proj: 18 5 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 20
Betemit, Wilson 2012: 99 23 5 0 6 9 1 0 0 29 0 1 109
Betemit, Wilson proj: 98 26 6 0 4 10 1 0 0 28 0 0 109
Chavez, Endy 2012: 60 8 2 0 0 2 0 2 1 11 0 2 65
Chavez, Endy proj: 59 16 3 1 1 4 0 2 0 7 2 1 65
Davis, Chris 2012: 121 34 7 0 5 7 1 0 1 36 0 1 130
Davis, Chris proj: 121 31 7 0 5 8 1 0 0 40 1 0 130
Exposito, Luis 2012: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 11
Exposito, Luis proj: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Flaherty, Ryan 2012: 42 7 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 15 0 0 45
Flaherty, Ryan proj: 42 7 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 15 0 0 45
Hall, Bill 2012: 5 1 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 8
Hall, Bill proj: 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Hardy, J.J. 2012: 157 41 10 0 9 11 2 0 1 23 0 0 171
Hardy, J.J. proj: 155 41 8 1 6 13 1 1 0 25 0 0 170
Johnson, Nick 2012: 54 9 4 0 2 6 0 0 3 16 2 0 63
Johnson, Nick proj: 51 14 3 0 2 10 0 0 1 11 1 0 62
Jones, Adam 2012: 156 46 8 1 12 8 0 0 3 26 6 3 167
Jones, Adam proj: 155 43 7 1 6 8 1 0 3 32 3 1 167
Markakis, Nick 2012: 150 37 8 1 6 19 2 0 1 29 1 1 172
Markakis, Nick proj: 153 45 10 1 4 17 1 0 1 24 2 1 172
Paulino, Ronny 2012: 30 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 30
Paulino, Ronny proj: 28 8 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 30
Reimold, Nolan 2012: 67 21 6 0 5 2 0 0 0 14 1 0 69
Reimold, Nolan proj: 61 16 3 0 3 7 1 0 1 13 1 0 70
Reynolds, Mark 2012: 89 17 7 0 2 18 1 0 0 36 1 1 108
Reynolds, Mark proj: 93 22 5 0 6 13 1 0 1 36 2 1 108
Tolleson, Steve 2012: 10 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Tolleson, Steve proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Wieters, Matt 2012: 131 34 7 1 8 14 0 0 2 27 0 0 147
Wieters, Matt proj: 133 35 7 0 5 13 1 0 1 27 0 0 148
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1331 334 72 5 60 110 8 6 13 309 11 11 1469
PROJECTED: 1323 348 68 5 45 119 10 7 9 299 14 5 1468
difference: +8 -14 +4 0 +15 -9 -2 -1 +4 +10 -3 +6 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .251 .263
Slugging Average: .448 .424
Walks (per PA): .075 .081
SOs (per PA): .210 .204
On-Base Average: .311 .324
Power Factor: 1.78 1.61
OPS: .759 .748
TOP Runs (to date): 178 178

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 0 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:03 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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 why baseball before and after 1993 is really two different games
    Fielding and Defense in Baseball
 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
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    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
 there is a lot in that Table, and this explains what it all is
    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
 links to baseball-related pages concerning the webmaster here
    Links To A Select Few Other Useful Baseball Sites
 including those that link to this one



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