The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 BOS Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Anderson, Lars 2012: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Anderson, Lars proj: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Aviles, Mike 2012: 149 40 12 0 5 7 1 2 0 20 5 3 159
Aviles, Mike proj: 150 43 8 1 3 7 1 1 1 21 5 2 160
Byrd, Marlon 2012: 67 19 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 10 0 2 72
Byrd, Marlon proj: 65 18 4 0 1 5 1 0 1 12 1 0 72
Ellsbury, Jacoby 2012: 26 5 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 30
Ellsbury, Jacoby proj: 27 8 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 2 1 29
Gomez, Mauro 2012: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Gomez, Mauro proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Gonzalez, Adrian 2012: 147 41 14 0 2 16 3 0 2 31 0 0 168
Gonzalez, Adrian proj: 147 43 9 0 7 19 1 0 1 30 0 0 168
McDonald, Darnell 2012: 56 10 4 0 2 8 1 0 0 12 1 1 65
McDonald, Darnell proj: 58 14 3 0 2 5 0 1 0 15 1 0 64
Middlebrooks, Will 2012: 54 15 5 0 4 3 0 0 0 18 2 0 57
Middlebrooks, Will proj: 54 15 5 0 4 3 0 0 0 18 2 0 57
Nava, Daniel 2012: 19 9 4 0 1 6 0 0 3 4 1 0 28
Nava, Daniel proj: 23 6 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 27
Ortiz, David 2012: 142 49 15 0 8 17 1 0 0 20 0 1 160
Ortiz, David proj: 137 39 10 0 8 21 1 0 1 29 0 0 160
Pedroia, Dustin 2012: 155 48 13 1 5 15 1 0 1 16 3 2 172
Pedroia, Dustin proj: 152 46 11 0 4 16 2 1 1 15 4 1 172
Punto, Nick 2012: 34 5 1 0 0 8 1 0 0 11 0 0 43
Punto, Nick proj: 37 9 2 0 0 4 0 1 0 7 1 0 42
Repko, Jason 2012: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 11
Repko, Jason proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Ross, Cody 2012: 127 32 8 1 6 14 2 0 1 38 0 1 144
Ross, Cody proj: 131 34 8 1 5 11 1 0 2 31 1 0 145
Saltalamacchia, Jarrod 2 012: 92 25 9 0 5 4 1 0 0 26 0 0
Saltalamacchia, Jarrod p roj: 89 22 5 0 3 7 0 0 0 28 0 0
Shoppach, Kelly 2012: 49 13 5 1 1 4 0 1 4 21 1 0 58
Shoppach, Kelly proj: 50 11 3 0 2 5 0 1 2 19 0 0 58
Spears, Nate 2012: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Spears, Nate proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Sweeney, Ryan 2012: 119 37 13 1 0 5 1 0 1 25 0 0 126
Sweeney, Ryan proj: 114 32 7 1 1 10 1 0 0 18 1 1 125
Youkilis, Kevin 2012: 64 14 2 0 2 5 1 0 2 20 0 0 72
Youkilis, Kevin proj: 61 17 4 0 2 9 1 0 2 13 0 0 73
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1325 364 108 4 41 117 15 4 15 286 13 10 1476
PROJECTED: 1318 360 82 3 43 129 9 5 12 274 18 5 1473
difference: +7 +4 +26 +1 -2 -12 +6 -1 +3 +12 -5 +5 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .275 .273
Slugging Average: .455 .438
Walks (per PA): .079 .087
SOs (per PA): .194 .186
On-Base Average: .336 .340
Power Factor: 1.66 1.6
OPS: .791 .778
TOP Runs (to date): 188 191

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 3 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:04 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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