The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 CHC Projected
pitching results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Bowden, Michael 2012: 28 9 3 0 2 4 0 0 0 6 2 0 32
Bowden, Michael proj: 29 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 6 1 0 32
Camp, Shawn 2012: 82 21 5 1 2 5 1 0 0 17 1 1 88
Camp, Shawn proj: 80 23 5 0 2 6 1 0 1 14 1 0 88
Castillo, Lendy 2012: 31 10 1 0 1 4 1 1 3 6 3 0 40
Castillo, Lendy proj: 31 10 1 0 1 4 1 1 3 6 3 0 40
Coleman, Casey 2012: 9 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 11
Coleman, Casey proj: 9 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
Dempster, Ryan 2012: 148 29 6 1 1 11 1 1 0 41 3 1 161
Dempster, Ryan proj: 140 36 7 1 4 17 1 2 1 32 2 1 161
Dolis, Rafael 2012: 77 16 2 1 2 10 1 2 1 8 0 0 91
Dolis, Rafael proj: 77 15 2 1 2 11 1 2 1 9 0 0 92
Garza, Matt 2012: 156 31 5 0 3 16 1 2 2 41 1 1 177
Garza, Matt proj: 159 39 7 1 4 14 1 1 1 35 1 1 176
Lopez, Rodrigo 2012: 25 8 1 2 0 5 1 2 1 2 0 1 34
Lopez, Rodrigo proj: 31 9 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 0 33
Maholm, Paul 2012: 147 34 8 0 6 12 1 2 5 22 2 0 167
Maholm, Paul proj: 149 42 9 1 4 13 1 2 2 24 2 1 167
Maine, Scott 2012: 19 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 3 10 0 0 25
Maine, Scott proj: 21 5 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 6 0 0 25
Marmol, Carlos 2012: 44 9 3 0 1 16 0 0 0 12 3 0 60
Marmol, Carlos proj: 49 9 2 0 1 9 0 0 1 18 1 0 59
Russell, James 2012: 60 14 7 2 1 8 0 1 0 14 2 1 69
Russell, James proj: 62 17 4 0 3 4 1 1 1 12 1 1 69
Samardzija, Jeff 2012: 158 37 4 2 2 14 2 3 1 45 5 1 178
Samardzija, Jeff proj: 151 36 7 1 3 22 1 2 2 35 6 1 178
Volstad, Chris 2012: 157 45 12 1 3 12 3 3 1 22 7 1 176
Volstad, Chris proj: 157 43 8 1 5 14 2 2 1 26 5 1 176
Wells, Randy 2012: 33 9 5 0 0 9 0 1 1 5 1 1 44
Wells, Randy proj: 40 11 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 1 0 43
Wood, Kerry 2012: 29 8 0 1 1 11 1 0 0 5 3 0 41
Wood, Kerry proj: 35 8 1 0 1 5 0 0 1 11 1 0 41
Wood, Travis 2012: 21 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 24
Wood, Travis proj: 21 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 23
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1224 289 64 11 26 144 13 19 18 260 34 8 1418
PROJECTED: 1241 320 62 6 35 133 10 13 16 252 26 6 1413
difference: -17 -31 +2 +5 -9 +11 +3 +6 +2 +8 +8 +2 +5
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .236 .258
Slugging Average: .370 .402
Walks (per PA): .102 .094
SOs (per PA): .183 .178
On-Base Average: .318 .332
Power Factor: 1.57 1.56
OPS: .688 .734
TPP Runs (to date): 153 170

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 17 less than Projected TPP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:05 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
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    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
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