The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 COL Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Belisle, Matt 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Belisle, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Chacin, Jhoulys 2012: 8 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9
Chacin, Jhoulys proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 9
Chatwood, Tyler 2012: 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Chatwood, Tyler proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Colvin, Tyler 2012: 70 21 1 3 3 2 1 0 0 22 1 1 73
Colvin, Tyler proj: 67 15 3 1 3 5 1 0 0 19 1 0 73
Cuddyer, Michael 2012: 130 35 11 1 4 12 2 0 0 28 5 1 144
Cuddyer, Michael proj: 129 35 8 1 4 13 1 0 1 26 2 1 144
Fowler, Dexter 2012: 99 24 5 2 4 14 0 2 0 28 2 0 115
Fowler, Dexter proj: 98 26 6 3 1 14 0 2 1 25 4 2 115
Friedrich, Christian 201 2: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
Friedrich, Christian pro j: 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
Giambi, Jason 2012: 25 6 1 0 1 8 1 0 1 6 0 0 35
Giambi, Jason proj: 28 8 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 6 0 0 34
Gonzalez, Carlos 2012: 132 40 7 2 7 16 0 0 1 28 6 0 149
Gonzalez, Carlos proj: 135 40 8 2 6 11 1 0 1 32 5 1 148
Guthrie, Jeremy 2012: 9 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 4 0 0 12
Guthrie, Jeremy proj: 11 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 12
Helton, Todd 2012: 102 24 7 1 4 15 1 0 0 14 1 0 118
Helton, Todd proj: 99 32 7 0 5 17 1 0 1 14 0 0 118
Hernandez, Ramon 2012: 81 19 5 0 4 4 1 1 1 11 0 0 88
Hernandez, Ramon proj: 79 21 4 0 3 7 1 1 1 11 0 0 89
Herrera, Jonathan 2012: 61 15 3 0 2 2 0 3 2 6 0 0 69
Herrera, Jonathan proj: 61 16 1 0 1 6 0 2 0 9 1 1 69
Moscoso, Guillermo 2012: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Moscoso, Guillermo proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 4
Moyer, Jamie 2012: 11 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 8 0 0 14
Moyer, Jamie proj: 11 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 4 0 0 14
Nelson, Chris 2012: 73 16 5 0 0 10 0 0 0 19 1 1 83
Nelson, Chris proj: 77 19 4 0 1 5 0 0 0 16 1 1 82
Nicasio, Juan 2012: 12 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 15
Nicasio, Juan proj: 13 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 9 0 0 15
Outman, Josh 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Outman, Josh proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Pacheco, Jordan 2012: 32 8 2 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 35
Pacheco, Jordan proj: 33 9 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 34
Pomeranz, Drew 2012: 5 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Pomeranz, Drew proj: 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Reynolds, Matt 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Reynolds, Matt proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Roenicke, Josh 2012: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Roenicke, Josh proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Rogers, Esmil 2012: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Rogers, Esmil proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Rosario, Wilin 2012: 58 13 5 0 5 3 1 0 1 18 0 2 63
Rosario, Wilin proj: 59 13 4 1 4 3 1 0 1 20 0 1 64
Scutaro, Marco 2012: 139 35 5 1 1 9 0 1 2 8 3 2 151
Scutaro, Marco proj: 134 36 8 1 2 14 1 1 1 17 2 1 151
Tulowitzki, Troy 2012: 134 36 4 2 3 13 1 0 1 15 1 2 149
Tulowitzki, Troy proj: 132 38 7 1 6 14 1 0 1 24 2 1 148
White, Alex 2012: 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
White, Alex proj: 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Young Jr., Eric 2012: 21 6 1 1 0 3 0 0 1 5 4 0 25
Young Jr., Eric proj: 22 6 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 1 24
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1225 310 63 14 39 119 9 13 10 242 24 9 1377
PROJECTED: 1224 323 67 10 39 119 8 13 9 260 21 10 1373
difference: +1 -13 -4 +4 0 0 +1 0 +1 -18 +3 -1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .253 .264
Slugging Average: .423 .431
Walks (per PA): .086 .086
SOs (per PA): .176 .189
On-Base Average: .319 .328
Power Factor: 1.67 1.63
OPS: .742 .759
TOP Runs (to date): 166 171

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 5 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:10 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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