The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 HOU Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Altuve, Jose 2012: 139 43 7 3 2 10 1 1 1 20 7 1 152
Altuve, Jose proj: 142 41 7 2 2 6 1 2 1 19 6 2 152
Bixler, Brian 2012: 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 8
Bixler, Brian proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 7
Bogusevic, Brian 2012: 107 25 4 2 1 13 0 0 3 22 5 3 123
Bogusevic, Brian proj: 109 28 8 1 2 11 0 0 1 27 4 2 121
Buck, Travis 2012: 55 14 4 1 0 4 0 0 1 15 0 0 60
Buck, Travis proj: 53 13 3 0 1 5 0 0 1 12 1 0 59
Castro, Jason 2012: 80 18 3 1 0 7 0 1 0 15 0 0 88
Castro, Jason proj: 79 17 3 1 1 8 0 0 0 16 0 0 87
Downs, Matt 2012: 48 9 2 1 3 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 51
Downs, Matt proj: 46 11 3 0 2 4 0 0 1 10 0 0 51
Gonzalez, Marwin 2012: 52 12 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 53
Gonzalez, Marwin proj: 52 12 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 8 0 0 53
Happ, J.A. 2012: 13 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 6 0 0 17
Happ, J.A. proj: 14 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 5 0 0 17
Harrell, Lucas 2012: 14 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 15
Harrell, Lucas proj: 14 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 15
Johnson, Chris 2012: 132 37 6 1 4 5 0 0 1 36 2 0 138
Johnson, Chris proj: 130 36 7 1 3 6 1 0 1 34 1 0 138
Lee, Carlos 2012: 131 40 5 1 3 12 0 0 0 9 0 0 143
Lee, Carlos proj: 130 37 8 0 6 10 2 0 1 16 2 1 143
Lowrie, Jed 2012: 114 31 6 0 4 14 0 0 0 20 1 0 128
Lowrie, Jed proj: 113 29 7 1 3 13 2 0 0 24 0 0 128
Lyles, Jordan 2012: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
Lyles, Jordan proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Martinez, J.D. 2012: 110 25 4 0 3 20 1 0 0 26 0 0 131
Martinez, J.D. proj: 117 30 6 0 3 12 1 0 1 27 0 0 131
Maxwell, Justin 2012: 48 11 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 19 0 2 53
Maxwell, Justin proj: 45 9 2 0 2 7 1 0 0 17 2 1 53
Norris, Bud 2012: 15 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 18
Norris, Bud proj: 15 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 5 0 0 18
Rodriguez, Aneury 2012: 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rodriguez, Aneury proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Rodriguez, Wandy 2012: 15 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 0 19
Rodriguez, Wandy proj: 17 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 0 0 19
Schafer, Jordan 2012: 129 32 5 0 2 14 0 1 1 42 12 4 146
Schafer, Jordan proj: 129 30 5 1 1 15 0 1 1 38 8 2 146
Snyder, Chris 2012: 52 8 1 0 1 6 0 0 1 16 0 0 59
Snyder, Chris proj: 50 11 2 0 2 7 1 0 1 13 0 0 59
Weiland, Kyle 2012: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 6
Weiland, Kyle proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 6
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1271 315 53 10 25 117 4 13 8 277 27 10 1414
PROJECTED: 1272 313 65 7 29 106 9 12 9 288 24 8 1408
difference: -1 +2 -12 +3 -4 +11 -5 +1 -1 -11 +3 +2 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .248 .246
Slugging Average: .364 .377
Walks (per PA): .083 .075
SOs (per PA): .196 .204
On-Base Average: .311 .304
Power Factor: 1.47 1.53
OPS: .675 .681
TOP Runs (to date): 147 146

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 1 more than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:15 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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