The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 LAD Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Abreu, Bobby 2012: 31 9 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 33
Abreu, Bobby proj: 28 8 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 6 1 0 33
Billingsley, Chad 2012: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 8 0 0 15
Billingsley, Chad proj: 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 15
Capuano, Chris 2012: 11 1 1 0 0 1 0 7 0 7 0 0 19
Capuano, Chris proj: 17 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 8 0 0 19
Ellis, A.J. 2012: 90 29 5 1 3 21 0 2 1 21 0 0 114
Ellis, A.J. proj: 94 26 4 1 2 16 0 2 2 18 0 0 114
Ellis, Mark 2012: 123 34 4 1 2 18 0 1 3 16 3 0 145
Ellis, Mark proj: 129 34 7 1 3 12 1 1 2 19 2 1 145
Ethier, Andre 2012: 136 41 11 1 8 12 2 0 2 34 0 0 152
Ethier, Andre proj: 134 39 9 1 5 15 2 0 1 25 1 1 152
Gordon, Dee 2012: 137 29 5 0 1 7 1 0 0 28 12 5 145
Gordon, Dee proj: 138 37 5 1 0 5 0 1 0 21 14 5 144
Gwynn, Tony 2012: 67 18 3 1 0 6 0 2 0 12 2 2 75
Gwynn, Tony proj: 67 16 2 1 0 7 0 1 0 12 3 1 75
Hairston Jr., Jerry 2012 : 5 4 1 7 3 1 1 5 0 1 3 5 1 1 6
Hairston Jr., Jerry proj : 5 6 1 4 3 0 1 5 0 1 1 7 2 1 6
Harang, Aaron 2012: 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 15
Harang, Aaron proj: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 15
Herrera, Elian 2012: 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Herrera, Elian proj: 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Kemp, Matt 2012: 117 42 5 1 12 20 2 0 0 29 2 3 139
Kemp, Matt proj: 126 37 6 1 6 11 1 0 1 32 6 2 139
Kennedy, Adam 2012: 39 7 2 0 0 7 2 2 0 8 0 0 50
Kennedy, Adam proj: 45 12 2 0 1 3 0 0 1 7 2 1 49
Kershaw, Clayton 2012: 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 5 0 0 18
Kershaw, Clayton proj: 14 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 4 0 0 18
Lilly, Ted 2012: 12 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 0 16
Lilly, Ted proj: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 16
Loney, James 2012: 111 26 8 0 1 13 0 0 0 16 0 1 124
Loney, James proj: 112 32 6 1 3 10 1 0 0 15 1 1 123
Rivera, Juan 2012: 81 20 3 0 2 4 2 0 0 4 0 2 87
Rivera, Juan proj: 80 22 4 0 3 6 1 0 0 10 0 1 87
Sands, Jerry 2012: 7 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 7
Sands, Jerry proj: 6 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7
Sellers, Justin 2012: 30 4 2 0 0 5 0 1 0 10 0 0 36
Sellers, Justin proj: 31 6 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 6 0 0 34
Treanor, Matt 2012: 25 6 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 4 0 0 28
Treanor, Matt proj: 24 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 0 28
Uribe, Juan 2012: 80 20 4 0 1 5 0 1 1 15 0 1 87
Uribe, Juan proj: 80 20 4 1 3 5 1 1 1 15 1 1 88
Van Slyke, Scott 2012: 6 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 7
Van Slyke, Scott proj: 6 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 7
Wright, Jamey 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Wright, Jamey proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1204 312 64 7 31 130 11 26 10 248 21 15 1381
PROJECTED: 1234 321 60 8 28 110 7 16 10 232 34 15 1377
difference: -30 -9 +4 -1 +3 +20 +4 +10 0 +16 -13 0 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .259 .260
Slugging Average: .401 .390
Walks (per PA): .094 .080
SOs (per PA): .180 .168
On-Base Average: .327 .320
Power Factor: 1.55 1.5
OPS: .728 .710
TOP Runs (to date): 159 155

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 4 more than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:17 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
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