The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 MIL Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Aoki, Norichika 2012: 52 13 1 1 1 5 0 2 0 6 0 1 59
Aoki, Norichika proj: 52 13 1 1 1 5 0 2 0 6 0 1 59
Braun, Ryan 2012: 131 40 6 2 10 14 2 0 5 31 6 2 152
Braun, Ryan proj: 137 43 9 1 8 12 1 0 2 27 5 1 152
Conrad, Brooks 2012: 16 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 17
Conrad, Brooks proj: 15 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 17
Estrada, Marco 2012: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 8
Estrada, Marco proj: 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 8
Gallardo, Yovani 2012: 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 16
Gallardo, Yovani proj: 14 3 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 16
Gamel, Mat 2012: 69 17 2 1 1 4 1 0 1 15 3 0 75
Gamel, Mat proj: 67 15 3 1 2 7 1 0 1 23 1 0 76
Gomez, Carlos 2012: 50 14 3 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 5 2 54
Gomez, Carlos proj: 50 12 2 1 1 3 0 1 1 12 3 1 55
Gonzalez, Alex 2012: 81 21 4 0 4 6 0 0 2 15 1 1 89
Gonzalez, Alex proj: 82 20 5 0 2 4 1 1 1 17 0 0 89
Green, Taylor 2012: 19 5 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 5 0 0 21
Green, Taylor proj: 20 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Greinke, Zack 2012: 16 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 17
Greinke, Zack proj: 15 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 0 18
Hart, Corey 2012: 130 32 10 1 8 12 1 2 2 39 1 0 147
Hart, Corey proj: 133 37 8 1 6 10 1 1 2 29 3 2 147
Ishikawa, Travis 2012: 52 13 5 0 4 5 0 3 0 18 0 0 60
Ishikawa, Travis proj: 54 14 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 14 0 0 59
Izturis, Cesar 2012: 56 12 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 1 59
Izturis, Cesar proj: 55 14 2 0 0 3 0 1 0 5 1 1 59
Kottaras, George 2012: 34 9 1 0 3 14 0 1 0 7 0 0 49
Kottaras, George proj: 42 9 3 0 2 6 1 0 0 10 0 0 49
Lucroy, Jonathan 2012: 104 35 6 3 2 5 1 1 3 17 0 0 114
Lucroy, Jonathan proj: 105 28 4 1 2 7 1 1 1 21 1 0 115
Marcum, Shaun 2012: 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 16
Marcum, Shaun proj: 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 5 0 0 16
Maysonet, Edwin 2012: 9 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 10
Maysonet, Edwin proj: 9 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 10
McClendon, Mike 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
McClendon, Mike proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Morgan, Nyjer 2012: 89 17 1 0 0 4 0 2 3 19 3 1 98
Morgan, Nyjer proj: 87 25 4 1 0 6 1 2 2 15 5 2 98
Narveson, Chris 2012: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Narveson, Chris proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Parra, Manny 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Parra, Manny proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Ramirez, Aramis 2012: 135 31 11 2 2 13 2 0 1 25 2 0 151
Ramirez, Aramis proj: 137 39 8 0 7 11 2 0 2 21 0 0 152
Weeks, Rickie 2012: 130 20 5 1 4 23 0 0 3 48 2 0 156
Weeks, Rickie proj: 134 34 6 1 5 17 1 0 4 36 5 1 156
Wolf, Randy 2012: 12 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 5 0 1 15
Wolf, Randy proj: 13 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 15
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1227 288 58 13 42 112 9 18 22 290 24 9 1388
PROJECTED: 1245 325 64 8 40 103 10 17 16 267 24 9 1391
difference: -18 -37 -6 +5 +2 +9 -1 +1 +6 +23 0 0 -3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .235 .261
Slugging Average: .406 .422
Walks (per PA): .081 .074
SOs (per PA): .209 .192
On-Base Average: .304 .319
Power Factor: 1.73 1.62
OPS: .710 .741
TOP Runs (to date): 155 167

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 12 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:20 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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