The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 MIN Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Burroughs, Sean 2012: 17 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 18
Burroughs, Sean proj: 16 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Butera, Drew 2012: 16 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Butera, Drew proj: 16 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 17
Carroll, Jamey 2012: 131 30 6 0 0 17 0 2 1 15 4 2 151
Carroll, Jamey proj: 131 36 5 1 1 15 1 3 1 21 3 1 151
Casilla, Alexi 2012: 87 22 5 0 0 4 0 0 1 13 5 0 92
Casilla, Alexi proj: 82 21 4 1 1 7 1 2 1 11 3 0 93
Doumit, Ryan 2012: 110 29 3 1 5 12 3 0 0 22 0 0 125
Doumit, Ryan proj: 113 31 7 0 4 9 1 0 2 22 1 0 125
Dozier, Brian 2012: 42 12 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 44
Dozier, Brian proj: 42 12 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 44
Hughes, Luke 2012: 10 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 0 11
Hughes, Luke proj: 10 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 11
Komatsu, Erik 2012: 30 6 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 35
Komatsu, Erik proj: 31 6 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 36
Mastroianni, Darin 2012: 18 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 19
Mastroianni, Darin proj: 17 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 19
Mauer, Joe 2012: 131 36 8 1 1 24 0 0 1 14 2 0 156
Mauer, Joe proj: 135 43 9 1 3 19 2 0 1 15 1 0 157
Morneau, Justin 2012: 79 18 6 0 4 8 0 0 1 20 0 0 88
Morneau, Justin proj: 78 22 5 0 4 9 1 0 1 13 0 0 89
Parmelee, Chris 2012: 84 15 5 1 0 6 0 0 2 21 0 0 92
Parmelee, Chris proj: 82 21 6 1 2 9 0 0 1 17 0 0 92
Plouffe, Trevor 2012: 65 9 2 0 2 13 0 0 0 14 0 0 78
Plouffe, Trevor proj: 69 15 4 0 2 7 1 1 1 17 1 1 79
Revere, Ben 2012: 18 5 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 20
Revere, Ben proj: 19 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 20
Span, Denard 2012: 137 40 7 1 0 14 0 0 0 20 4 3 151
Span, Denard proj: 132 38 5 2 1 15 1 2 1 19 5 2 151
Thomas, Clete 2012: 28 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 16 0 0 29
Thomas, Clete proj: 26 6 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 29
Valencia, Danny 2012: 100 19 5 1 1 2 1 0 0 23 0 1 103
Valencia, Danny proj: 96 25 5 0 2 6 1 0 0 17 0 1 103
Willingham, Josh 2012: 117 35 13 1 7 17 0 0 5 25 1 0 139
Willingham, Josh proj: 119 31 7 1 6 16 1 0 3 29 1 0 139
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1220 291 66 6 23 127 6 3 12 223 17 6 1368
PROJECTED: 1214 325 62 7 29 126 11 9 12 210 16 5 1372
difference: +6 -34 +4 -1 -6 +1 -5 -6 0 +13 +1 +1 -4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .239 .268
Slugging Average: .359 .402
Walks (per PA): .093 .092
SOs (per PA): .163 .154
On-Base Average: .314 .337
Power Factor: 1.51 1.5
OPS: .673 .739
TOP Runs (to date): 138 165

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 27 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:21 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
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    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
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