The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 OAK Projected
pitching results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Balfour, Grant 2012: 65 14 3 1 3 7 0 0 0 14 0 2 72
Balfour, Grant proj: 63 14 3 0 2 8 1 1 0 19 1 0 73
Blevins, Jerry 2012: 53 11 4 0 3 7 0 1 0 13 1 2 61
Blevins, Jerry proj: 54 13 2 0 2 5 1 1 0 13 0 0 61
Carignan, Andrew 2012: 22 6 2 0 0 8 0 1 0 4 0 0 31
Carignan, Andrew proj: 26 7 2 0 1 5 0 1 0 5 1 0 32
Colon, Bartolo 2012: 229 63 9 2 8 8 0 0 0 31 1 0 237
Colon, Bartolo proj: 214 56 11 1 7 18 1 2 1 43 1 1 236
Cook, Ryan 2012: 54 4 2 0 0 8 0 1 0 17 0 1 63
Cook, Ryan proj: 53 9 1 0 0 10 0 1 0 15 2 1 64
De Los Santos, Fautino 2 012: 17 7 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0
De Los Santos, Fautino p roj: 17 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 6 1 0
Figueroa, Pedro 2012: 24 5 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 3 0 0 30
Figueroa, Pedro proj: 24 5 1 0 1 6 0 0 0 3 0 0 30
Fuentes, Brian 2012: 55 14 4 1 1 2 1 1 1 12 1 0 60
Fuentes, Brian proj: 52 12 2 0 1 6 0 1 1 15 1 0 60
Godfrey, Graham 2012: 60 15 5 0 2 7 2 0 2 7 1 1 71
Godfrey, Graham proj: 64 18 5 0 2 5 1 0 1 8 0 0 71
McCarthy, Brandon 2012: 204 54 14 0 3 13 3 1 2 36 7 2 223
McCarthy, Brandon proj: 203 52 11 1 6 16 2 1 1 36 5 2 223
Miller, Jim 2012: 35 8 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 37
Miller, Jim proj: 31 7 1 1 0 4 1 0 0 6 1 0 36
Milone, Tommy 2012: 187 44 9 0 6 13 1 0 2 29 3 3 203
Milone, Tommy proj: 185 47 10 1 5 11 2 2 3 29 3 3 203
Norberto, Jordan 2012: 65 13 3 0 1 7 1 1 0 15 0 0 74
Norberto, Jordan proj: 59 13 2 0 1 13 1 1 0 12 0 0 74
Parker, Jarrod 2012: 94 21 7 0 1 12 0 1 1 17 4 0 108
Parker, Jarrod proj: 94 21 7 0 1 11 0 2 1 15 3 0 108
Ross, Tyson 2012: 129 41 8 0 2 12 1 0 1 15 3 1 143
Ross, Tyson proj: 126 35 5 0 2 14 2 1 0 22 2 0 143
Thompson, Rich 2012: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Thompson, Rich proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1296 321 74 4 32 115 9 7 9 221 21 12 1436
PROJECTED: 1268 314 63 4 31 134 12 14 8 248 21 7 1436
difference: +28 +7 +11 0 +1 -19 -3 -7 +1 -27 0 +5 0
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .248 .248
Slugging Average: .385 .377
Walks (per PA): .080 .093
SOs (per PA): .154 .173
On-Base Average: .310 .318
Power Factor: 1.55 1.52
OPS: .695 .695
TPP Runs (to date): 152 154

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 2 less than Projected TPP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:26 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
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    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
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    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
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