The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 PIT Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Alvarez, Pedro 2012: 107 23 6 0 7 10 2 0 0 40 0 0 119
Alvarez, Pedro proj: 107 24 6 0 4 11 1 0 0 37 0 0 119
Barajas, Rod 2012: 80 15 5 0 2 6 0 0 0 14 0 0 86
Barajas, Rod proj: 79 19 4 0 3 5 1 1 1 14 0 0 87
Barmes, Clint 2012: 110 17 8 0 2 1 1 2 3 32 0 2 117
Barmes, Clint proj: 107 27 6 1 3 6 1 2 2 19 2 1 118
Bedard, Erik 2012: 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 0 0 15
Bedard, Erik proj: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 15
Burnett, A.J. 2012: 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 9
Burnett, A.J. proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Correia, Kevin 2012: 11 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 1 13
Correia, Kevin proj: 11 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 5 0 0 14
Hague, Matt 2012: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Hague, Matt proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Harrison, Josh 2012: 36 8 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 6 0 0 40
Harrison, Josh proj: 38 10 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 1 0 39
Hughes, Jared 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hughes, Jared proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Jones, Garrett 2012: 80 20 5 0 4 3 1 0 0 19 1 0 84
Jones, Garrett proj: 75 19 5 0 3 8 1 0 0 17 1 0 84
Karstens, Jeff 2012: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 4
Karstens, Jeff proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Lincoln, Brad 2012: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
Lincoln, Brad proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
McCutchen, Andrew 2012: 125 43 7 1 3 12 2 0 2 24 7 3 141
McCutchen, Andrew proj: 122 34 7 1 4 16 1 0 1 23 6 2 140
McDonald, James 2012: 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 6 0 0 16
McDonald, James proj: 14 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 8 0 0 16
McGehee, Casey 2012: 81 17 4 1 0 11 1 0 0 17 1 0 93
McGehee, Casey proj: 84 22 5 0 3 7 1 0 0 16 0 0 92
McKenry, Michael 2012: 41 8 2 0 2 6 0 0 0 12 0 0 47
McKenry, Michael proj: 42 9 3 0 1 4 0 1 0 12 0 0 47
McLouth, Nate 2012: 47 8 2 0 0 5 0 0 0 14 0 0 52
McLouth, Nate proj: 45 11 3 0 2 5 0 1 1 9 2 0 52
Morton, Charlie 2012: 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 12
Morton, Charlie proj: 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 12
Navarro, Yamaico 2012: 37 6 0 0 1 5 1 0 0 9 0 1 43
Navarro, Yamaico proj: 39 7 1 0 1 3 1 0 0 11 0 0 43
Presley, Alex 2012: 118 26 4 0 2 4 0 3 0 30 3 4 125
Presley, Alex proj: 117 31 6 2 2 6 0 2 0 26 4 3 125
Resop, Chris 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Resop, Chris proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Tabata, Jose 2012: 128 31 6 2 2 6 0 1 2 21 5 4 137
Tabata, Jose proj: 124 34 6 1 1 11 1 1 1 20 6 3 138
Walker, Neil 2012: 127 33 5 0 1 10 2 1 0 20 1 0 140
Walker, Neil proj: 127 35 8 1 3 11 1 0 1 24 1 1 140
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1191 261 55 5 27 81 10 18 8 297 18 15 1308
PROJECTED: 1180 290 62 6 30 95 9 16 7 268 23 10 1307
difference: +11 -29 -7 -1 -3 -14 +1 +2 +1 +29 -5 +5 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .219 .246
Slugging Average: .342 .385
Walks (per PA): .062 .073
SOs (per PA): .227 .205
On-Base Average: .268 .300
Power Factor: 1.56 1.57
OPS: .609 .685
TOP Runs (to date): 108 136

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 28 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:28 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
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 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
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