The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2014 SFO Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2014: 89 21 6 0 0 5 1 2 1 19 1 0 98
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 89 21 6 0 1 5 1 2 1 20 1 0 98
Arias, Joaquin 2014: 123 23 2 0 0 4 1 1 0 14 1 0 129
Arias, Joaquin proj: 121 32 5 1 1 4 1 1 1 17 2 0 128
Belt, Brandon 2014: 165 40 5 0 10 13 1 0 2 48 3 1 181
Belt, Brandon proj: 161 43 10 1 5 18 1 0 2 42 3 1 182
Blanco, Gregor 2014: 215 50 7 3 1 24 0 3 2 47 9 3 244
Blanco, Gregor proj: 211 54 7 3 1 28 1 2 1 48 9 3 243
Bumgarner, Madison 2014: 43 11 2 0 3 1 1 4 1 17 0 0 50
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 42 7 1 0 1 2 0 5 0 16 0 0 49
Cain, Matt 2014: 27 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 13 0 0 30
Cain, Matt proj: 26 3 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 13 0 0 30
Casilla, Santiago 2014: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Casilla, Santiago proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Colvin, Tyler 2014: 127 29 10 3 2 8 1 0 1 41 1 0 137
Colvin, Tyler proj: 126 30 7 2 5 8 1 0 1 37 1 0 136
Crawford, Brandon 2014: 310 74 14 8 8 40 7 1 2 81 2 3 360
Crawford, Brandon proj: 323 78 15 4 5 31 3 1 2 68 1 3 360
Duvall, Adam 2014: 24 5 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 24
Duvall, Adam proj: 24 5 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 24
Gutierrez, Juan 2014: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Gutierrez, Juan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Hicks, Brandon 2014: 204 33 6 1 8 32 1 3 2 77 0 1 242
Hicks, Brandon proj: 209 32 8 1 8 28 1 2 1 85 1 1 241
Hudson, Tim 2014: 37 2 0 0 0 2 0 4 1 13 0 0 44
Hudson, Tim proj: 38 6 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 12 0 0 44
Lincecum, Tim 2014: 35 3 0 0 0 4 0 5 0 21 0 0 44
Lincecum, Tim proj: 36 4 0 0 0 3 0 5 0 18 0 0 44
Machi, Jean 2014: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Machi, Jean proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Morse, Michael 2014: 333 92 26 1 14 21 2 0 5 88 0 0 361
Morse, Michael proj: 331 93 19 1 15 21 2 0 6 82 1 1 360
Pagan, Angel 2014: 241 74 14 1 3 19 1 1 0 29 11 3 262
Pagan, Angel proj: 239 68 14 4 4 19 2 2 0 37 12 3 262
Panik, Joe 2014: 62 13 2 0 0 5 1 0 0 7 0 0 68
Panik, Joe proj: 62 13 2 0 0 5 1 0 0 7 0 0 68
Pence, Hunter 2014: 407 124 22 5 13 33 1 0 3 73 9 3 444
Pence, Hunter proj: 407 117 22 4 16 33 2 0 2 80 9 4 444
Perez, Juan 2014: 45 7 2 0 1 2 0 2 1 16 0 1 50
Perez, Juan proj: 46 10 2 0 1 3 0 1 0 13 1 0 50
Petit, Yusmeiro 2014: 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 13
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 12 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 13
Posey, Buster 2014: 329 94 18 0 11 29 6 0 2 40 0 1 366
Posey, Buster proj: 324 99 20 1 12 34 4 0 3 49 1 1 365
Sanchez, Hector 2014: 162 32 8 0 3 7 4 0 2 54 0 1 175
Sanchez, Hector proj: 164 40 9 0 3 7 2 0 2 43 0 0 175
Sandoval, Pablo 2014: 358 100 17 2 12 27 4 0 1 58 0 0 390
Sandoval, Pablo proj: 354 105 22 2 12 29 5 0 2 52 1 1 390
Scutaro, Marco 2014: 10 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 12
Scutaro, Marco proj: 11 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 12
Vogelsong, Ryan 2014: 35 5 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 11 0 0 37
Vogelsong, Ryan proj: 31 5 1 0 0 2 0 4 0 13 0 0 37
2014 TEAM TOTALS: 3397 837 164 24 91 280 32 29 27 786 37 17 3765
PROJECTED: 3390 869 173 24 92 284 27 34 24 767 43 18 3759
difference: +7 -32 -9 0 -1 -4 +5 -5 +3 +19 -6 -1 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .246 .256
Slugging Average: .389 .403
Walks (per PA): .074 .075
SOs (per PA): .209 .204
On-Base Average: .304 .313
Power Factor: 1.58 1.57
OPS: .693 .716
TOP Runs (to date): 398 422

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 24 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 24 July 2014, at 2:24 am EDT;
it was last modified on Wednesday, 23 July 2014, at 9:09 am EDT.

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