The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2015 SFO Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Aoki, Nori 2015: 76 23 4 1 0 10 0 0 1 11 5 2 87
Aoki, Nori proj: 77 22 4 1 1 7 0 1 1 7 3 1 86
Arias, Joaquin 2015: 16 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 17
Arias, Joaquin proj: 16 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 17
Belt, Brandon 2015: 43 10 1 0 0 6 0 0 1 12 0 0 50
Belt, Brandon proj: 44 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 12 1 0 49
Blanco, Gregor 2015: 47 11 3 2 0 6 0 0 0 8 1 0 53
Blanco, Gregor proj: 46 12 2 1 0 6 0 1 0 10 2 1 53
Bumgarner, Madison 2015: 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 8
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 8
Crawford, Brandon 2015: 62 13 1 1 3 7 0 0 2 16 1 1 71
Crawford, Brandon proj: 64 15 3 1 1 6 1 0 0 14 0 0 71
Duffy, Matt 2015: 41 10 2 0 1 4 1 2 0 9 0 0 48
Duffy, Matt proj: 43 11 2 0 0 2 0 1 1 10 0 0 47
Heston, Chris 2015: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 12
Heston, Chris proj: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 12
Hudson, Tim 2015: 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 8
Hudson, Tim proj: 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 8
Kontos, George 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Kontos, George proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Lincecum, Tim 2015: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Lincecum, Tim proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
Maxwell, Justin 2015: 39 12 1 1 3 5 0 0 1 10 0 0 45
Maxwell, Justin proj: 40 9 2 0 2 5 0 0 1 14 1 0 46
McGehee, Casey 2015: 48 9 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 10 0 1 51
McGehee, Casey proj: 46 12 2 0 1 4 1 0 0 8 0 0 51
Pagan, Angel 2015: 76 27 5 1 0 5 1 0 0 10 2 0 82
Pagan, Angel proj: 75 21 4 1 1 6 1 0 0 12 4 1 82
Panik, Joe 2015: 66 20 4 1 0 6 2 1 0 10 0 0 75
Panik, Joe proj: 69 21 3 1 0 5 1 0 0 9 0 0 75
Peavy, Jake 2015: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Peavy, Jake proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Petit, Yusmeiro 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Posey, Buster 2015: 69 17 1 0 2 8 1 0 0 9 0 0 78
Posey, Buster proj: 69 21 4 0 3 7 1 0 1 10 0 0 78
Sanchez, Hector 2015: 25 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 25
Sanchez, Hector proj: 23 6 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 24
Susac, Andrew 2015: 13 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 15
Susac, Andrew proj: 14 4 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 15
Vogelsong, Ryan 2015: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5
Vogelsong, Ryan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4
2015 TEAM TOTALS: 661 165 26 7 12 63 5 6 5 136 9 4 740
PROJECTED: 664 174 32 5 11 56 5 7 4 131 11 3 736
difference: -3 -9 -6 +2 +1 +7 0 -1 +1 +5 -2 +1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .250 .262
Slugging Average: .365 .375
Walks (per PA): .085 .076
SOs (per PA): .184 .177
On-Base Average: .315 .318
Power Factor: 1.46 1.43
OPS: .679 .693
TOP Runs (to date): 77 80

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 3 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Sunday, 26 April 2015, at 3:21 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Sunday, 26 April 2015, at 9:06 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
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    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
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