The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2015 SFO Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2015: 22 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 0 0 23
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 21 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 22
Aoki, Nori 2015: 276 86 9 2 2 23 0 1 5 17 12 5 305
Aoki, Nori proj: 272 79 13 2 3 24 1 3 5 23 11 5 305
Arias, Joaquin 2015: 58 12 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 12 1 0 59
Arias, Joaquin proj: 56 15 2 1 0 2 0 1 0 8 1 0 59
Belt, Brandon 2015: 336 93 26 3 12 38 3 0 2 99 5 2 379
Belt, Brandon proj: 337 91 22 3 12 37 2 0 3 92 6 2 379
Blanco, Gregor 2015: 216 64 14 2 3 27 3 0 1 45 7 4 247
Blanco, Gregor proj: 215 56 9 3 2 28 1 2 1 47 9 3 247
Bumgarner, Madison 2015: 43 11 0 0 3 2 0 1 0 17 0 0 46
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 39 7 1 0 1 2 0 4 0 15 0 0 45
Cain, Matt 2015: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 9
Cain, Matt proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Crawford, Brandon 2015: 356 95 20 4 16 27 4 0 8 83 4 3 395
Crawford, Brandon proj: 354 87 17 4 8 33 4 1 3 78 2 3 395
Duffy, Matt 2015: 325 99 17 4 9 15 1 2 5 61 4 0 348
Duffy, Matt proj: 325 97 16 3 8 14 1 3 6 63 3 1 349
Heston, Chris 2015: 40 9 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 12 0 0 45
Heston, Chris proj: 40 9 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 13 0 0 45
Hudson, Tim 2015: 32 5 2 0 0 1 0 2 0 9 0 0 35
Hudson, Tim proj: 30 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 0 9 0 0 34
Ishikawa, Travis 2015: 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 6
Ishikawa, Travis proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Kontos, George 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Kontos, George proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2
Lincecum, Tim 2015: 21 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 10 0 0 25
Lincecum, Tim proj: 20 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 11 0 0 24
Lollis, Ryan 2015: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Lollis, Ryan proj: 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Machi, Jean 2015: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3
Machi, Jean proj: 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 4
Maxwell, Justin 2015: 212 46 7 2 7 14 1 1 2 63 2 1 230
Maxwell, Justin proj: 204 45 9 2 8 22 1 0 2 72 6 2 229
McGehee, Casey 2015: 127 27 5 0 2 11 0 0 0 28 0 1 138
McGehee, Casey proj: 125 33 7 0 3 11 1 0 0 23 0 0 137
Osich, Josh 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Osich, Josh proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Pagan, Angel 2015: 378 100 13 3 0 20 5 0 0 65 6 2 403
Pagan, Angel proj: 369 104 20 5 5 28 3 2 0 58 17 5 402
Panik, Joe 2015: 375 116 25 2 7 37 4 3 4 42 3 2 423
Panik, Joe proj: 384 118 21 2 5 32 3 2 2 45 2 1 423
Parker, Jarrett 2015: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 9
Parker, Jarrett proj: 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 9
Peavy, Jake 2015: 12 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 4 0 0 15
Peavy, Jake proj: 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 0 0 15
Pence, Hunter 2015: 146 44 11 1 6 12 0 0 0 35 1 1 158
Pence, Hunter proj: 145 41 8 1 6 12 1 0 1 29 3 1 159
Petit, Yusmeiro 2015: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 10
Petit, Yusmeiro proj: 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 9
Posey, Buster 2015: 351 115 17 0 15 37 5 0 1 33 2 0 394
Posey, Buster proj: 350 109 20 1 14 36 5 0 3 49 1 1 394
Romo, Sergio 2015: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Romo, Sergio proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Sanchez, Hector 2015: 45 8 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 45
Sanchez, Hector proj: 42 10 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 11 0 0 45
Strickland, Hunter 2015: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Strickland, Hunter proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Susac, Andrew 2015: 112 27 6 2 3 10 0 0 1 35 0 0 123
Susac, Andrew proj: 113 29 8 1 3 10 0 0 1 36 0 0 124
Vogelsong, Ryan 2015: 28 4 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 9 0 0 35
Vogelsong, Ryan proj: 29 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 12 0 0 34
2015 TEAM TOTALS: 3556 971 181 25 87 278 26 30 29 720 47 21 3919
PROJECTED: 3527 951 180 28 79 298 24 37 27 724 61 24 3913
difference: +29 +20 +1 -3 +8 -20 +2 -7 +2 -4 -14 -3 +6
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .273 .270
Slugging Average: .411 .404
Walks (per PA): .071 .076
SOs (per PA): .184 .185
On-Base Average: .326 .326
Power Factor: 1.51 1.5
OPS: .738 .730
TOP Runs (to date): 465 459

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 6 more than Projected TOP.




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You loaded this page on Sunday, 2 August 2015, at 10:35 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Sunday, 2 August 2015, at 9:08 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
The Performance Stats:
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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    The "Quality of Pitching" Measures:
 why they are the best way to evaluate pitching
    The SillyBall:
 why baseball before and after 1993 is really two different games
    Fielding and Defense in Baseball
 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
 why raw stats need "correction", and how and why we can and cannot apply it
    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
 there is a lot in that Table, and this explains what it all is
    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
 links to baseball-related pages concerning the webmaster here
    Links To A Select Few Other Useful Baseball Sites
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