The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2014 SFO Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Adrianza, Ehire 2014: 17 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Adrianza, Ehire proj: 17 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 18
Arias, Joaquin 2014: 18 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 19
Arias, Joaquin proj: 18 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 19
Belt, Brandon 2014: 57 17 2 0 5 2 0 0 0 17 0 0 59
Belt, Brandon proj: 52 14 3 0 2 6 0 0 0 14 1 0 58
Blanco, Gregor 2014: 13 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 16
Blanco, Gregor proj: 14 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 0 16
Bumgarner, Madison 2014: 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 6
Bumgarner, Madison proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 6
Cain, Matt 2014: 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 6
Cain, Matt proj: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 6
Crawford, Brandon 2014: 44 14 5 1 1 7 2 0 1 13 1 0 54
Crawford, Brandon proj: 49 12 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 10 0 0 53
Hicks, Brandon 2014: 22 7 2 0 1 8 0 2 1 9 0 1 33
Hicks, Brandon proj: 28 5 2 0 1 4 0 1 0 13 0 0 33
Hudson, Tim 2014: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 9
Hudson, Tim proj: 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 9
Lincecum, Tim 2014: 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 5
Lincecum, Tim proj: 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
Morse, Michael 2014: 42 14 4 0 2 4 0 0 1 11 0 0 47
Morse, Michael proj: 43 12 2 0 2 3 0 0 1 11 0 0 47
Pagan, Angel 2014: 57 22 4 0 1 4 0 0 0 8 2 1 61
Pagan, Angel proj: 56 16 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 9 3 1 61
Pence, Hunter 2014: 57 11 4 0 1 5 0 0 1 10 2 0 63
Pence, Hunter proj: 58 16 3 0 2 5 0 0 0 11 1 1 63
Perez, Juan 2014: 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 1 9
Perez, Juan proj: 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 9
Posey, Buster 2014: 47 13 1 0 3 6 0 0 0 8 0 0 53
Posey, Buster proj: 47 14 3 0 2 5 1 0 1 7 0 0 54
Sanchez, Hector 2014: 17 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 7 0 0 20
Sanchez, Hector proj: 19 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 20
Sandoval, Pablo 2014: 55 9 2 0 2 8 0 0 0 12 0 0 63
Sandoval, Pablo proj: 57 17 4 0 2 5 1 0 0 8 0 0 63
Vogelsong, Ryan 2014: 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Vogelsong, Ryan proj: 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 5
2014 TEAM TOTALS: 477 120 27 2 17 51 4 9 5 119 5 3 546
PROJECTED: 492 128 25 1 13 43 2 6 2 111 6 2 545
difference: -15 -8 +2 +1 +4 +8 +2 +3 +3 +8 -1 +1 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .252 .260
Slugging Average: .423 .394
Walks (per PA): .093 .079
SOs (per PA): .218 .203
On-Base Average: .322 .317
Power Factor: 1.68 1.52
OPS: .746 .712
TOP Runs (to date): 65 61

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 4 more than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 April 2014, at 8:30 am EDT;
it was last modified on Wednesday, 16 April 2014, at 9:06 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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 why baseball before and after 1993 is really two different games
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 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
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    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
 there is a lot in that Table, and this explains what it all is
    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
 links to baseball-related pages concerning the webmaster here
    Links To A Select Few Other Useful Baseball Sites
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