The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

  email me search site site directory  

2012 STL Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Beltran, Carlos 2012: 122 36 2 1 13 21 0 0 2 33 5 1 145
Beltran, Carlos proj: 127 36 7 1 6 16 1 0 1 23 5 1 145
Berkman, Lance 2012: 36 11 3 1 0 6 0 0 1 10 1 0 43
Berkman, Lance proj: 36 11 2 0 2 7 0 0 0 7 0 0 43
Carpenter, Matt 2012: 88 24 7 3 3 9 2 0 1 22 0 0 100
Carpenter, Matt proj: 87 21 7 3 3 11 2 0 1 22 0 0 101
Craig, Allen 2012: 51 19 5 0 5 6 2 0 0 13 1 0 59
Craig, Allen proj: 54 16 4 0 3 4 1 0 0 12 1 0 59
Cruz, Tony 2012: 29 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 29
Cruz, Tony proj: 27 6 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 29
Descalso, Daniel 2012: 64 13 1 3 1 9 0 1 1 21 0 1 75
Descalso, Daniel proj: 65 17 4 1 0 7 0 2 1 14 0 0 75
Freese, David 2012: 129 37 6 0 8 12 0 0 1 31 0 0 142
Freese, David proj: 129 38 6 0 4 10 1 1 2 30 0 0 143
Furcal, Rafael 2012: 146 54 11 1 2 16 1 2 1 16 7 1 166
Furcal, Rafael proj: 148 42 7 2 3 15 1 1 1 21 8 2 166
Garcia, Jaime 2012: 19 5 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 7 0 0 21
Garcia, Jaime proj: 19 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 5 0 0 21
Greene, Tyler 2012: 68 16 4 1 3 7 0 0 1 21 4 1 76
Greene, Tyler proj: 67 15 3 0 1 6 0 0 2 19 3 0 75
Holliday, Matt 2012: 149 39 6 1 7 17 0 0 0 32 2 1 166
Holliday, Matt proj: 147 46 10 1 7 16 1 0 2 27 3 1 166
Jay, Jon 2012: 105 36 2 1 2 7 0 3 2 11 4 1 117
Jay, Jon proj: 105 32 6 1 2 7 1 2 1 18 1 1 116
Komatsu, Erik 2012: 19 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
Komatsu, Erik proj: 18 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 20
Lohse, Kyle 2012: 16 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 4 0 0 21
Lohse, Kyle proj: 18 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 5 0 0 21
Lynn, Lance 2012: 18 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 18
Lynn, Lance proj: 17 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0 0 18
McClellan, Kyle 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
McClellan, Kyle proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Molina, Yadier 2012: 123 37 13 0 4 9 1 2 1 13 4 0 136
Molina, Yadier proj: 123 34 6 0 2 10 1 1 1 12 1 1 136
Robinson, Shane 2012: 50 14 2 0 1 3 0 0 0 12 1 0 53
Robinson, Shane proj: 50 12 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 10 1 0 53
Salas, Fernando 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Salas, Fernando proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Schumaker, Skip 2012: 45 15 3 1 0 5 0 0 0 6 0 1 50
Schumaker, Skip proj: 46 13 2 0 0 4 0 0 0 6 0 0 50
Wainwright, Adam 2012: 13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 13
Wainwright, Adam proj: 12 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 13
Westbrook, Jake 2012: 14 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 7 1 0 18
Westbrook, Jake proj: 15 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 7 0 0 18
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1306 371 66 14 49 132 6 16 11 285 30 7 1471
PROJECTED: 1312 356 70 9 34 122 10 14 12 258 23 6 1470
difference: -6 +15 -4 +5 +15 +10 -4 +2 -1 +27 +7 +1 +1
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .284 .271
Slugging Average: .469 .416
Walks (per PA): .090 .083
SOs (per PA): .194 .175
On-Base Average: .349 .333
Power Factor: 1.65 1.53
OPS: .818 .749
TOP Runs (to date): 214 181

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 33 more than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:33 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

Site Mechanics:

Search this site:


Custom Search
(the usual Google search rules apply)


Site Directory:

 This site's Front Page
 Late News about the site



(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
The Performance Stats:
    Team Measures:
    Player Measures:

(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
    For You Rookies:
 what this site is all about--what it is telling you about baseball, and how, and why
    Some Baseball Analysis Theory:
 a semi-technical backgrounding on modern baseball analysis
    Baseball Stat Definitions:
 the standard and the unique statistics we present
    The "Quality of Pitching" Measures:
 why they are the best way to evaluate pitching
    The SillyBall:
 why baseball before and after 1993 is really two different games
    Fielding and Defense in Baseball
 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
 why raw stats need "correction", and how and why we can and cannot apply it
    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
 why just about everything you think you know about them is wrong
(now a full-fledged site of its own)



(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
 there is a lot in that Table, and this explains what it all is
    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
 links to baseball-related pages concerning the webmaster here
    Links To A Select Few Other Useful Baseball Sites
 including those that link to this one



(new, used--find any book, anywhere in the world)
The High Boskage House Baseball Shop:
    What Makes This "Baseball Shop" Special:
    Baseball Books Available Today:


Site Info:

owl logo This site is one of The Owlcroft Company family of web sites. Please click on the link (or the owl) to see a menu of our other diverse user-friendly, helpful sites.       Pair Networks logo Like all our sites, this one is hosted at the highly regarded Pair Networks, whom we strongly recommend. We invite you to click on the Pair link (or their logo) for more information on getting your site or sites hosted on a first-class service.
All Owlcroft systems run on Ubuntu Linux and we heartily recommend it to everyone--click on the link for more information.

Comments? Criticisms? Questions?

Please, e-mail me by clicking here.

(Or, if you cannot email from your browser, send mail to webmaster@highboskage.com)

All content copyright © 1999 - 2012 The Owlcroft Company.

This web page is strictly compliant with the W3C (World Wide Web Consortium)
Extensible HyperText Markup Language (XHTML) Protocol v1.0 (Transitional).
Click on the logo below to test us!

So if your browser experiences any difficulties with this page(or, really, even if it doesn't seem to),
just click on the logo below to find out all about (and even get)--


Get the Firefox browser!
(It's free!)



---=== end of page ===---