The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 TEX Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Andrus, Elvis 2012: 146 48 9 1 1 18 1 4 0 19 6 1 169
Andrus, Elvis proj: 149 41 6 1 1 15 0 4 1 22 9 3 169
Beltre, Adrian 2012: 128 38 8 0 7 5 2 0 1 13 1 0 136
Beltre, Adrian proj: 125 34 7 0 5 9 1 0 1 20 2 1 136
Cruz, Nelson 2012: 146 40 10 0 4 11 0 0 2 39 2 3 159
Cruz, Nelson proj: 145 39 8 1 8 13 1 0 1 36 4 1 160
Gentry, Craig 2012: 58 18 1 1 1 4 0 0 1 11 5 1 63
Gentry, Craig proj: 56 15 2 0 0 4 0 1 2 13 6 0 63
Gonzalez, Alberto 2012: 40 9 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 0 41
Gonzalez, Alberto proj: 38 9 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 40
Hamilton, Josh 2012: 136 55 5 0 18 15 3 0 1 32 2 1 155
Hamilton, Josh proj: 139 44 9 1 8 13 2 0 1 28 2 1 155
Kinsler, Ian 2012: 153 42 11 2 5 19 1 0 1 18 5 4 174
Kinsler, Ian proj: 152 42 9 1 6 18 1 1 2 21 7 1 174
Moreland, Mitch 2012: 90 24 4 0 4 7 1 0 1 15 0 0 99
Moreland, Mitch proj: 88 23 4 0 4 9 1 0 1 18 1 0 99
Murphy, David 2012: 96 26 7 0 3 7 2 0 2 26 1 1 108
Murphy, David proj: 97 27 6 1 3 9 1 0 0 18 2 1 107
Napoli, Mike 2012: 116 29 2 2 7 12 2 0 4 40 0 0 134
Napoli, Mike proj: 115 30 6 0 7 15 1 0 2 33 1 1 133
Snyder, Brandon 2012: 33 11 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 35
Snyder, Brandon proj: 32 10 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 0 0 34
Torrealba, Yorvit 2012: 61 13 4 0 0 4 1 1 1 12 1 0 68
Torrealba, Yorvit proj: 61 16 4 0 1 5 0 1 1 12 0 0 68
Young, Michael 2012: 150 42 7 0 3 6 1 0 0 21 2 0 157
Young, Michael proj: 144 44 8 1 4 10 1 1 0 23 2 1 156
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1353 395 71 6 56 110 14 6 14 265 25 11 1498
PROJECTED: 1341 374 73 6 48 124 9 8 12 258 36 10 1494
difference: +12 +21 -2 0 +8 -14 +5 -2 +2 +7 -11 +1 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .292 .279
Slugging Average: .477 .450
Walks (per PA): .073 .083
SOs (per PA): .177 .172
On-Base Average: .346 .341
Power Factor: 1.64 1.61
OPS: .824 .791
TOP Runs (to date): 216 204

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 12 more than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:35 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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 why baseball before and after 1993 is really two different games
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 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
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    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
 there is a lot in that Table, and this explains what it all is
    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
 links to baseball-related pages concerning the webmaster here
    Links To A Select Few Other Useful Baseball Sites
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