The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 TEX Projected
pitching results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Adams, Mike 2012: 52 11 3 0 1 2 0 0 0 9 3 0 54
Adams, Mike proj: 49 10 2 0 1 4 0 0 0 14 1 0 53
Darvish, Yu 2012: 194 43 9 0 4 26 1 0 4 58 3 0 225
Darvish, Yu proj: 194 43 9 0 4 26 1 0 4 58 3 0 225
Feldman, Scott 2012: 58 15 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 7 3 1 63
Feldman, Scott proj: 56 15 3 0 2 5 1 0 1 8 2 1 63
Feliz, Neftali 2012: 133 25 3 1 5 18 0 0 1 31 1 0 152
Feliz, Neftali proj: 135 24 5 0 3 14 0 1 2 38 1 1 152
Harrison, Matt 2012: 172 49 10 2 6 10 1 0 0 27 0 0 183
Harrison, Matt proj: 164 46 10 1 5 15 2 1 1 26 1 1 183
Holland, Derek 2012: 176 40 11 2 3 17 3 0 0 40 2 2 196
Holland, Derek proj: 177 47 10 1 6 16 1 0 1 37 2 2 195
Lewis, Colby 2012: 202 53 12 2 12 8 1 0 4 47 2 3 215
Lewis, Colby proj: 192 50 11 1 8 19 1 1 2 42 2 1 215
Lowe, Mark 2012: 47 12 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 16 0 1 50
Lowe, Mark proj: 44 12 3 0 1 5 0 0 0 10 0 0 49
Nathan, Joe 2012: 59 16 4 0 2 2 1 0 0 19 1 0 62
Nathan, Joe proj: 55 11 2 0 1 6 0 0 0 16 1 0 61
Ogando, Alexi 2012: 64 8 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 21 0 0 69
Ogando, Alexi proj: 63 14 2 0 1 5 1 0 1 14 1 0 70
Ross, Robbie 2012: 58 13 0 0 2 4 1 1 1 13 0 1 65
Ross, Robbie proj: 58 13 0 0 2 4 1 1 1 13 0 1 65
Uehara, Koji 2012: 47 7 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 15 0 0 48
Uehara, Koji proj: 46 10 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 13 0 0 48
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1262 292 55 8 40 97 11 1 11 303 15 8 1382
PROJECTED: 1233 295 59 3 36 121 8 4 13 289 14 7 1379
difference: +29 -3 -4 +5 +4 -24 +3 -3 -2 +14 +1 +1 +3
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .231 .239
Slugging Average: .383 .380
Walks (per PA): .070 .088
SOs (per PA): .219 .209
On-Base Average: .289 .311
Power Factor: 1.65 1.59
OPS: .672 .691
TPP Runs (to date): 138 146

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 8 less than Projected TPP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:36 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
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(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
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    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
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