The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 WAS Projected
batting results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total PA (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA
Ankiel, Rick 2012: 86 22 6 0 2 6 0 0 0 26 1 2 92
Ankiel, Rick proj: 83 21 4 0 3 7 1 0 1 22 1 0 92
Bernadina, Roger 2012: 73 17 6 0 2 8 0 1 1 20 4 1 83
Bernadina, Roger proj: 75 18 3 1 2 6 1 1 1 17 4 1 84
Carroll, Brett 2012: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Carroll, Brett proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
DeRosa, Mark 2012: 37 3 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 5 0 0 44
DeRosa, Mark proj: 39 11 2 0 1 4 0 0 1 7 0 0 44
Desmond, Ian 2012: 163 45 11 1 5 6 1 0 0 31 3 1 170
Desmond, Ian proj: 156 41 8 1 3 9 2 2 1 34 5 2 170
Detwiler, Ross 2012: 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 12
Detwiler, Ross proj: 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 0 12
Espinosa, Danny 2012: 132 28 4 0 3 16 1 2 0 45 3 3 151
Espinosa, Danny proj: 132 30 6 1 5 13 1 1 3 40 3 2 150
Flores, Jesus 2012: 48 10 1 0 0 3 2 0 1 11 0 0 54
Flores, Jesus proj: 50 12 3 0 1 3 0 0 1 13 0 0 54
Gonzalez, Gio 2012: 16 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 17
Gonzalez, Gio proj: 15 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 0 0 17
Gorzelanny, Tom 2012: 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Gorzelanny, Tom proj: 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Harper, Bryce 2012: 63 15 6 1 2 7 1 0 1 13 1 1 72
Harper, Bryce proj: 63 15 6 1 2 7 1 0 1 13 1 1 72
Jackson, Edwin 2012: 15 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 0 0 16
Jackson, Edwin proj: 14 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 6 0 0 16
LaRoche, Adam 2012: 121 41 10 0 7 19 0 0 0 30 1 1 140
LaRoche, Adam proj: 125 34 9 0 6 13 1 0 1 31 0 0 140
Leon, Sandy 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Leon, Sandy proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Lombardozzi, Stephen 201 2: 63 20 4 0 0 6 0 3 2 5 0 0
Lombardozzi, Stephen pro j: 66 18 3 0 0 5 0 2 1 6 0 0
Mattheus, Ryan 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Mattheus, Ryan proj: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Moore, Tyler 2012: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Moore, Tyler proj: 14 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 14
Nady, Xavier 2012: 68 10 1 0 3 4 0 0 0 16 1 0 72
Nady, Xavier proj: 66 18 4 0 2 4 0 0 1 14 0 0 71
Ramos, Wilson 2012: 83 22 2 0 3 12 1 0 0 19 0 0 96
Ramos, Wilson proj: 86 23 5 0 3 8 0 1 0 17 0 0 95
Stammen, Craig 2012: 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3
Stammen, Craig proj: 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3
Strasburg, Stephen 2012: 14 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 15
Strasburg, Stephen proj: 13 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 0 14
Tracy, Chad 2012: 41 12 2 0 3 3 1 0 1 8 0 0 46
Tracy, Chad proj: 42 12 3 0 1 4 0 0 0 7 0 0 46
Werth, Jayson 2012: 98 27 5 1 3 14 0 0 1 21 3 0 113
Werth, Jayson proj: 97 26 5 1 4 14 1 0 1 28 3 0 113
Zimmerman, Ryan 2012: 90 20 5 0 1 16 1 0 1 16 2 1 108
Zimmerman, Ryan proj: 96 28 6 0 4 10 1 0 0 18 1 0 107
Zimmermann, Jordan 2012: 12 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 0 15
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 12 2 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 4 0 0 15
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1255 307 67 3 34 128 8 13 9 298 19 10 1413
PROJECTED: 1264 319 69 5 37 109 9 14 13 302 18 6 1409
difference: -9 -12 -2 -2 -3 +19 -1 -1 -4 -4 +1 +4 +4
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS PA


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .245 .252
Slugging Average: .384 .403
Walks (per PA): .091 .077
SOs (per PA): .211 .214
On-Base Average: .314 .313
Power Factor: 1.57 1.6
OPS: .698 .716
TOP Runs (to date): 151 158

Runs differential:
Actual TOP 7 less than Projected TOP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:39 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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