The High Boskage House Baseball-Analysis Web Site
baseball team and player performance examined realistically and accurately

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2012 WAS Projected
pitching results to date:

About These Stats:

The form of "projection" used is very simple: each man's career numbers are pro-rated by his actual number of appearances to date this season; those data, labelled "proj:" are shown along with the man's actual stats from this year to date. At the bottom of the Table, each set of lines--"projected" and actual--is separately summed to get Team Totals for each dataset.

Note that "career to date" includes each man's stats for the current year: "to date" is literally correct. For veteran players, that matters little, but for rookies or players with litle prior major-league experience, it means that the "projection" will perforce nearly or exactly match the actual stats to date. That seems like the best way to deal with newly arrived players' stats.

Note that owing to rounding in the pro-rating process, projected total BFP (plate appearances) may occasionally differ by 1.

Below the player/team table is a smaller table showing a few key team "rate" stats (such as batting average) actual and projected.

The Actual Data:

Through games as shown in the Tables.
All results are from true, unadjusted data.
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP
Burnett, Sean 2012: 37 8 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 12 0 0 39
Burnett, Sean proj: 34 8 1 0 1 4 0 1 0 6 1 0 39
Clippard, Tyler 2012: 64 13 4 0 0 9 2 0 0 19 4 0 75
Clippard, Tyler proj: 65 13 3 0 2 8 1 1 0 21 1 0 75
Detwiler, Ross 2012: 147 33 6 0 2 10 0 3 0 28 1 1 160
Detwiler, Ross proj: 142 38 7 1 3 13 1 3 1 23 2 1 160
Gonzalez, Gio 2012: 172 29 9 1 1 19 2 2 0 60 3 1 195
Gonzalez, Gio proj: 170 40 7 1 4 22 1 1 1 44 3 1 195
Gorzelanny, Tom 2012: 70 20 7 0 1 7 0 0 0 11 0 1 77
Gorzelanny, Tom proj: 67 18 4 0 2 8 1 1 1 13 2 0 78
Jackson, Edwin 2012: 162 35 7 4 6 9 2 0 1 38 2 2 174
Jackson, Edwin proj: 155 42 8 1 4 16 1 1 1 30 4 1 174
Lidge, Brad 2012: 28 7 3 1 1 7 0 0 0 7 1 0 35
Lidge, Brad proj: 30 7 1 0 1 4 0 0 0 11 1 0 34
Mattheus, Ryan 2012: 63 14 5 1 0 6 1 0 1 12 1 0 71
Mattheus, Ryan proj: 61 14 3 0 0 7 1 1 1 8 1 0 71
Perry, Ryan 2012: 22 10 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 24
Perry, Ryan proj: 20 5 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 1 0 23
Rodriguez, Henry 2012: 59 9 1 0 2 12 0 2 0 22 1 1 73
Rodriguez, Henry proj: 61 13 1 0 1 10 0 1 1 19 3 0 73
Stammen, Craig 2012: 75 14 1 0 1 4 0 2 1 23 1 0 82
Stammen, Craig proj: 75 20 5 1 2 5 1 1 0 12 2 0 82
Strasburg, Stephen 2012: 173 37 4 1 3 12 0 3 3 56 5 1 191
Strasburg, Stephen proj: 176 37 6 1 3 11 1 2 1 59 3 1 191
Zimmermann, Jordan 2012: 169 37 8 0 2 8 2 3 2 32 4 0 184
Zimmermann, Jordan proj: 168 43 8 1 4 10 1 2 2 37 2 2 183
2012 TEAM TOTALS: 1241 266 60 9 20 107 9 15 8 322 25 7 1380
PROJECTED: 1224 298 55 6 27 121 9 15 9 287 26 6 1378
difference: +17 -32 +5 +3 -7 -14 0 0 -1 +35 -1 +1 +2
Man AB H 2B 3B HR BB SF SH HBP SO SB CS BFP


Assorted Team Stats:
Stat Actual Projected
Batting Average: .214 .243
Slugging Average: .326 .364
Walks (per PA): .078 .088
SOs (per PA): .233 .208
On-Base Average: .276 .311
Power Factor: 1.52 1.5
OPS: .602 .675
TPP Runs (to date): 116 143

Runs differential:
Actual TPP 27 less than Projected TPP.







You loaded this page on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 10:39 pm EDT;
it was last modified on Thursday, 17 May 2012, at 9:07 am EDT.

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(team and player performance evaluations, updated daily)
The Performance Stats:
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(meanings and explanations of the things on this site)
Baseball-Analysis Background:
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    The "Quality of Pitching" Measures:
 why they are the best way to evaluate pitching
    The SillyBall:
 why baseball before and after 1993 is really two different games
    Fielding and Defense in Baseball
 how important defense is or isn't in baseball, and how to correctly evaluate it
    Baseball Data Normalization:
 why raw stats need "correction", and how and why we can and cannot apply it
    "Steroids" and Other "Performance-Enhancing Drugs":
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(now a full-fledged site of its own)



(miscellaneous but not unimportant)
Some Miscellaneous Information:
    The Team-Performance Table
 there is a lot in that Table, and this explains what it all is
    The HBH Baseball-Analysis Formula Tested
 what we get when we apply it to half a century of team stats
    The Pitfalls of Park Factors
 an explicit, detailed demonstration of how and why they are so dubious
    About High Boskage House
 who we are and why we might know what we're talking about
    Links About Eric Walker
 links to baseball-related pages concerning the webmaster here
    Links To A Select Few Other Useful Baseball Sites
 including those that link to this one



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